General Election: Hornsey and Wood Green - PPCs

andy

Here are the PPCs for Hornsey and Wood Green. Lynne Featherstone is incumbent. - Lynne Featherstone (LD): <http://www.lynnefeatherstone.org>; - Karen Jennings (Lab): <http://www.karenjennings.org/>; - Richard Merrin (Con): <http://www.richardmerrin.com/>; - Pete McAskie (Green): <http://haringeygreens.blogspot.com/>; - Rohen Kapur (Independent): <http://henrynorthlondon.blogspot.com/>; 2005 Results from [wikipedia](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hornsey_and_Wood_Green_(UK_Parliament_constituency)) - Lib Dem: Lynne Featherstone 20,512 votes (43.3%) +17.5% - Labour: Barbara Roche 18,117 votes (38.3%) -11.6% - Conservative: Peter Forrest 6,014 votes (12.7%) -3.0% - Green: Jayne Forbes 2,377 votes (5.0%) -0.1% - UKIP: Roy Freshwater 310 votes (0.7%) +0.7%

staplejack

<a href="http://www.aboutmyvote.co.uk/">Register here</a> if you are not already signed up.

Also useful for postal & proxy votes.

andy

Here are some twitter feeds: - Lynne Featherstone: <http://twitter.com/lfeatherstone>; - Karen Jennings: <http://twitter.com/Karen4HWG>; - Richard Merrin: <http://twitter.com/RichardMerrin>; You can follow them all on this list here: <http://twitter.com/#/list/stroudgreen/stroud-green-ppcs>;

Emma

Merrin"Astounded that the libs are leafleting on the holy day in Camden".

How quaint.

andy

Here are the odds from Betfair: - Liberal Democrat 1.13 (2/15) - Labour 6 (5/1) - Conservative 40 (39/1) - Any Other 40 (39/1) Incredibly, (in my view), the bookies rate Lynne to be a surer bet than Jeremy Corbyn to retake the seat. This strikes me as likely, but not a good value bet compared to the value in Islington North. A quid on Lynne returns 13p, a quid on Jeremy returns 25p.

Jenowl

Lynne was one of the very few MPs to turn up for yesterday's debate on the Digital Economy Bill.

Ed B

I regularly get lib dem junk mail (with my name on it!). It's very annoying and a complete waste of paper as I already know who I'm voting for. I'll be getting even more now, I've had three letters already this week! Any idea how I could get off their mailing list. Thanks.

granville

@Ed B
remove yourself from the Electoral Register and don't vote Lib Dem? ;-)

Arkady

Most MPs with contestable seats will be home in their constituencies, rather easier for Lynne...

graeme

Lynne states on her current batch of flyers that:

"The Conservatives <u>can't</u> win in Hornsey and Wood Green."

Is this something to do with the number of seats on the council or something else that would make it impossible for the Conservative party to win in H&WG at the General Election?

andy

Given Labour and Lib Dem account for well over 80% of the votes in the constituency, it's not an unreasonable statement. Odds of 39/1 give an implied probability of 2.5% - it's not impossible, but it is very very very unlikely.

Jenowl

good point Arkady, all the more reason not to push through a crucial bill during 'wash up'

lynnefeatherstone

Ed B - If you email lynne@lynnefeatherstone.org and ask to be removed from my mailing list I can stop the addressed letters. I'm afraid that the leaflets are not stoppable - but please recycle.

And if anyone wants more leaflets - happy to provide!

twinspark

@lynnefeatherstone

If only it were that easy - I have unsubscribed more than once, I have left voicemail to the same effect and told LD canvassers not to knock here - all to no avail!!! Short of hypnosis there is no chance that anyone in this household will allow LibDems to 'borrow' their vote for leverage in negotiations after the election - I'm really tired of 40 odd years and various incarnations of Liberal parties trying to be a credible electoral force by claiming a copyright on 'fairness'.
Their style of leafletting which purports to address me personally e.g. with a my name atop a fake handwritten letter is just intrusive and about as classy as your average loan-shark junk-mail. If you don't print this junk there's no need to recycle.
No reply required.

graeme

@Andy, thanks for that, just wasn't sure if it was political flimflam rather than an actual fact.

Ps thanks to Lynne for voting against the Digital Economy bill.

Ed B

Thanks Lynne, have emailed.

andy

Here's more constituency analysis: <http://www.voterpower.org.uk/hornsey-wood-green>; This site suggests that a vote in H&WG is worth just over half a normal vote.

Slabber

I can't decide who to vote for. I like Darling's eyebrows and Gordon's hair, but Lynne seems nice too and I don't want her to lose her job.

Is it against forum policy for me to say I hope George Osbourne gets AIDS?

Alex

Andy, your interpretation of that website seems wrong, since they state: "Voters in Hornsey & Wood Green have 2.05x more voting power than the UK average." I.e. a H&WG vote is actually twice as powerful as the average vote in the UK, though only half as powerful as it would be under full proportional representation.

andy

Seems wrong. But isn't. The text on the site says: "In Hornsey & Wood Green, one person does not really have one vote, they have the equivalent of 0.517 votes." So it depends what you take 'normal' and 'average' to mean. In my opinion, the fact that H&WG's votes are less rubbish than others is nothing to get excited about. The baseline for 'normal' should be that each vote counts more or less equally. But I'm clearly some sort of Jeffersonian hippy.

Dr Rohen Kapur

Im standing as an Independent , I am not standing for the Libertarian Party anymore, I prefer to be responsible to the people who vote for me rather than be subject to any party rules or policies which may interfere with that.

Twitter feed @HenryNorth
website http://henrynorthlondon.blogspot.com
email rohenkapur@googlemail.com
telephone 02088880649 /07958320134

I will try and make it to Stroud green to hand out leaflets and push them through the doors but Im afraid since time is limited you might only just get one leaflet sent round by the royal mail.

Hope thats ok

The best way of asking a question is direct email, Or phone, or leave a comment on the blog ( unfortunately I have had to turn off anonymous comments) I will get back to you as soon as I can.

Thanks

Dr Kapur

ADGS

So you're saying you had to leave the Libertarian Party because it has oppressive rules?

andy

Rohen - I have edited your post to become an Independent, and have changed the web link. I understand your frustration. I hate Libertarians telling me what to do.

Dr Rohen Kapur

Im a free spirit and whilst I may be rather outspoken, I mean well, I've never pretended to be a career politician, Im standing up for the little guys the people who want to have a voice and who dont get that at the moment That is why my telephone number and email address and home address are freely available ( just tap my name into Google and it'll bring up the hustings website or yournext mp and my details can be found on there)

The Libertarian Party of the UK. I feel that certain aspects have been infiltrated by personal egos and personal problems and those have projected to what is going on in that party. I can't put my finger on it but I know that several people have left and that is a worrying thing. If you are having a party structure, it should be fair to everyone.

Every Libertarian should be free to stand at any time especially if they are putting up their own money as a deposit.

andy

How much is a deposit and how many votes do you need to get it back?

Dr Rohen Kapur

£500 and I need 5% of the Vote to get it back about 1600 votes