Thanks for this Andy, really helpful. Am surprised that the Lib Dems have gone for such an apparent lightweight. Confidence or resignation? His main reference to law and order seems to be that he was mugged once. Odd. Can anyone offer any
insight?
Don't know. It does look like the Islington Lib Dems are spending all their money on Islington South and letting Islington North go hang. He doesn't look like a candidate who's going to unseat anyone.
It's the Corbyn paradox. If you want to vote Labour, you vote Labour. If you're an anti-labour protest vote, vote for Jeremy Corbyn, Labour's most rebellious MP.
The Tory candidate looks like he's got an interesting story, but is being made to fight this one before he's allowed a proper crack at a winnable seat.
It's a pity because I really liked the look of last time's Lib Dem candidate, someone Willoughby iirc.
Corbyn, though...as much as I loathe both the Red and the Blue Tories, it disgusts me even more to have an MP who <a href="http://engageonline.wordpress.com/2009/04/06/corbyn/">filled in for George Galloway to host a show on Ahmadinejad's Holocaust-denying propaganda station</a>.
Andy, had the same thought about the Conservative. I agree, he seems to be an interesting character but appears to have very little local connection or interest. Definitely dropped in by the party on the promise of a more winnable seat next time. Disappointing.
Corbyn is a paradox and does make life difficult. I would have thought a strong lib dem might have unseated him though.
If only we had Blears to play with...
It does. Who says that party's stuck in the past, eh?
I also liked "I am not a career politician. I have spent the last 22 years as a lawyer at the Bank of England and FSA working to protect investors and keep our financial system clean and efficient." Yeah, thanks for that, mate. Imagine what might have happened without you keeping your eye on the bankers!
Just checked the odds on Betfair for this seat.
- Labour 1.26 (1/4)
- Liberal Democrat 3.9 (3/1)
- Conservative 40 (39/1)
- Any Other 40 (39/1)
These are decimal odds, so Labour is 1/4 on. This is free money.
The idea that the Lib Dems are worth 3/1 is amazing. I don't know where you get the idea that there is a 20% chance that Corbyn won't win this seat.
The stroudgreen.org polling seems to be working quite well for Stroud Green ward, so I've made one for the other side of Stroud Green Road:
Take our opinion poll on Tollington Ward here:
<http://www.surveymonkey.com/s/ZRFQQHP>
Comments
Also useful for postal & proxy votes.
Corbyn, though...as much as I loathe both the Red and the Blue Tories, it disgusts me even more to have an MP who <a href="http://engageonline.wordpress.com/2009/04/06/corbyn/">filled in for George Galloway to host a show on Ahmadinejad's Holocaust-denying propaganda station</a>.
I also liked "I am not a career politician. I have spent the last 22 years as a lawyer at the Bank of England and FSA working to protect investors and keep our financial system clean and efficient." Yeah, thanks for that, mate. Imagine what might have happened without you keeping your eye on the bankers!